Alternative Data Trends: NLP Analysis on Commercial Real Estate
July 21, 2022
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5 mins read
Housing and construction fees have skyrocketed over the past few years. This increase goes back to multiple factors: economic unrest, raw materials disruption, and labor shortage, to name a few. What does web data have to say about all this?
In this week’s “Alternative Data Trends” issue, we’ll talk about commercial real estate, unveiling the industry’s ESG and SDG conformity and the effects of COVID-19 on the supply chain and labor.
Commercial real estate volume of mentions
While analyzing web data dealing with commercial real estate, we detected an evident increase in the industry’s volume of mentions. This trend spiked in April 2020 and was initially hindered by the COVID pandemic, which resulted in a drop in sentiment polarity. Still, it witnessed a rapid recovery leveraging digitalization and e-solutions (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Commercial real estate market mentions Feb 2015 to Mar 2022.
Case study: Unibail-Rodmaco-Westfield
To further understand the commercial real estate industry, we studied Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and its competitors. Unibail-Rodmaco, a French commercial real estate company, acquired Westfield, a U.S. company, in December 2017. This acquisition accentuated its market share and grew its web voice share compared to its competitors (Figure 2).
Figure 2: Unibail volume of mentions compared to the market.
The chart in Figure 3 shows that the company’s volume of mentions has been increasing ever since the acquisition occurred. However, a negative sentiment polarity has been steadily increasing due to social ESG risks related to collective health crises during COVID and security-disrupting threats. In addition, the company faced difficulties collecting rent from retailers leading to lawsuits.
The arrows in this chart indicate Unibail ESG risks in time. The first arrow points to the social risks generated by security threats, in 2016, and the second arrow points to the issue of unpaid rent and lawsuits filed regarding the matter, in 2020.
Figure 3: Unibail ESG risks.
According to web data, Unibail has the second highest volume of sustainability mentions among analyzed groups. The company was notably related to sustainable development goals number 8* and number 12**. This volume is manifested in their initiatives to help unemployed people and maintain sustainable ethics and practices when launching their malls and shopping centers (Figure 4).
* Social development goal for decent work and economic growth.
** Social development goal for responsible consumption and production.
Figure 4: Unibail SDG volume of mentions compared to the market.
The impact of COVID on the emerging commercial real estate market
As previously mentioned, COVID had several effects on the industry, both negative and positive. Furthermore, it reshaped the market and its work policies. Some companies, as well, chose to switch to remote work and digitalization. In Figure 5, we can see that sentiment related to remote work policies has steadily improved since the pandemic started. However, in the last few months, we’ve seen a sharp decline, potentially signaling a negative reaction to some companies requiring employees back to their offices.
Figure 5: Remote work policies’ volume of mentions.
In addition, the pandemic has resulted in labor shortage and supply chain disruption, eventually leading to tremendous inflationary pressure. Raw materials prices, including oil, gas, iron, and wood, have witnessed a drastic increase and a disequilibrium between the volume of demand and the quantity available (Figure 6).
Figure 6: Labor shortage and supply chain disruption Feb 2015 - Dec 2021.
Data source
To produce this analysis, we combined natural language processing with billions of textual web data related to the real estate market, commercial real estate in particular. Using NLP-powered models gives us an edge as we can extract ESG, SDG, and financial insights that aren’t necessarily obvious or easy to detect. These insights help investors make better investment decisions.
SESAMm leverages artificial intelligence and machine learning to help you decipher and understand timely sentiments, trends, and ESG metrics on a wide range of public and private companies.
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The first and second parts of this series discussed the differences between public and private companies from the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UNSDG) perspectives. In this part, we’re using IKEA as a prime example; we can explore how its private ownership impacts its sustainability practices and governance. This analysis aims to reveal how IKEA's strategies align with broader ESG goals, shedding light on the implications of private versus public company frameworks.
We chose IKEA as an example for this use case for two main reasons. Firstly, as a private company, it provides a suitable basis for comparison with other private companies in the same industry. Secondly, IKEA is known for promoting sustainable practices, such as using renewable energy, responsibly sourced materials, and minimizing waste. However, despite the company's claims about the eco-friendliness of its products, our goal is to investigate whether these claims and products are perceived as environmentally friendly. We also aim to identify any issues affecting any of its stakeholders beyond the environment.
ESG Industry Benchmark
In our study, we focused on a detailed comparative analysis of IKEA's Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risk mentions over the past three years, particularly in the context of the consumer discretionary sector. Our findings indicate a lower prevalence of environmental controversies both for IKEA and the sector overall. However, regarding governance risks, the consumer discretionary sector appears to encounter these issues more frequently than IKEA does.
Figure 1: ESG risks in IKEA and Consumer Discretionary.
On the other hand, IKEA stands out with a more significant presence of social risks than the sector average. This includes a notable number of product safety concerns, exemplified by instances of product recalls due to choking hazards, laceration risks, and even products infested with bugs. The analysis also brought to light several instances of human rights breaches at IKEA, particularly concerning privacy issues, such as data leaks and illegal filming incidents involving staff and customers. Labor rights violations are another area of concern, with instances ranging from union-busting activities to allegations of religious and gender discrimination within the company. Additionally, human capital risks are conspicuous, with mentions of strikes driven by dissatisfaction over wages and layoffs, as well as health and safety issues. Risks in customer relations have also been documented, including incidents of overcharging customers and discriminatory practices against certain customer groups.
Detecting ESG Risks Through the Industry SDG Lens
In our comparative analysis of IKEA's controversies against the average adverse behaviors in its sector concerning the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), we noticed both similarities and distinctions. A key finding is that Goal 1, "End poverty," features prominently for both IKEA and the sector, highlighting a common vulnerability to controversies under this goal.
These breaches predominantly pertain to issues around labor rights and human capital, aligning with the findings from our ESG controversy analysis. Additionally, a smaller yet significant portion of controversies is linked to internal control deficiencies within the company. This pattern suggests that both IKEA and its sector face similar challenges in addressing labor rights and human capital issues, contributing to breaches of Goal 1. In examining the differences, Goal 3, "Health and well-being," stands out for IKEA, exceeding the sector norm. This is largely attributed to numerous product recalls, alongside health and safety concerns related to IKEA's workforce. Moreover, in Goals 11 ("Sustainable Cities") and 12 ("Responsible Production and Consumption"), IKEA shows a higher-than-average proportion of controversies, mainly due to issues in human capital and customer relations. This highlights a specific focus on product safety and human capital challenges at IKEA, pointing to areas of heightened risk or difficulty compared to industry peers. Additionally, our study reveals distinct variations in Goals 9 ("Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure") and 16 ("Peace, Justice, & Strong Institutions"), where IKEA shows a lower proportion of issues compared to the sector average. This suggests that, unlike its industry counterparts, IKEA has been more effective in mitigating risks in these areas.
Detecting ESG Risks Through the Industry SDG Lens
Our methodology analyzes the controversies detected for IKEA and maps them to identify which ones constitute breaches of the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC) principles.
Figure 2: UNGC principles in IKEA and Consumer Discretionary.
Consistent with the identified ESG risks, human rights breaches at IKEA are notably more prominent than the sector average. This is primarily due to multiple instances of privacy, security, and dignity violations, as well as issues in diversity & inclusion. Additionally, labor rights issues at IKEA, while exceeding the industry average, are not markedly higher. Our study also reveals that IKEA has a slightly higher proportion of breaches in the environmental pillar compared to its sector. These include incidents like gas leaks, allegations of greenwashing, and cases of illegal logging.
Conclusion
ESG controversies and breaches of SDG goals vary notably between public and private sectors. Public companies frequently encounter more visible and consistent ESG risks, while private companies, although subject to less scrutiny, experience significant impacts when controversies do occur. The case study of IKEA particularly sheds light on the unique challenges faced in product safety and human capital. This highlights the critical need for rigorous and proactive risk management strategies to maintain sustainable corporate practices tailored to the specific nature and scale of the entity in question.
Download the full report to discover how different sectors navigate regulatory pressures and sustainability challenges with real-world examples to guide your strategy.
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TextReveal’s web data analysis of over five million public and private companies is essential for keeping tabs on ESG investment risks. To learn more about how you can analyze web data or to request a demo, reach out to one of our representatives.
SESAMm is pleased to announce that Nathalie Wallace is joining our Advisory Board. Nathalie brings more than 20 years of experience at the intersection of investment management, sustainability strategy, and executive leadership. She has built a career helping global investment organizations integrate sustainability into investment decision-making and capital allocation.
Commenting on the appointment, Sylvain Forté, CEO of SESAMm, said, “Nathalie brings a rare combination of investment experience, strategic vision, and deep understanding of how sustainability considerations translate into real-world investment decisions. Her perspective will be invaluable as SESAMm continues to support financial institutions navigating increasingly complex risk and regulatory environments.”
She previously served as Chief Sustainability Officer at Edmond de Rothschild, where she contributed to the firm’s sustainability strategy across asset classes. Prior to that, Nathalie was Global Head of Sustainable Investment at Natixis Investment Managers, where she was a member of the executive, investment, and seed committees, chaired the CSR–Sustainable Investment committee, and served on the boards of Mirova and Ostrum Asset Management. Earlier in her career, she was Global Head of Strategy and Business Development at Mirova, supporting its growth and positioning as a leading sustainable investment platform.
As Senior Advisor to SESAMm, Nathalie will support the company’s strategic direction, bringing her perspective on sustainable finance, investor expectations, and the evolving role of data and AI in risk analysis and investment processes.
“SESAMm’s approach to risk and sustainability intelligence reflects how investment teams are evolving their processes,” said Nathalie Wallace. “I’m excited to contribute my perspective as the firm continues to support investors with timely, decision-relevant insights.”
We are delighted to welcome Nathalie to SESAMm and look forward to working together as we continue to support financial institutions with forward-looking risk and sustainability insights.
SESAMm’s AI Technology Reveals ESG Insights
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SESAMm's ESG data shows FIFA's Controversy Exposure Score has stayed High to Very High since 2020. See why continuous monitoring beats the four-year cycle.
With the 2026 World Cup now underway, FIFA is back in the global spotlight, and its risk profile is once again being narrated in four-year cycles, as though controversy arrives with the tournament and recedes with the closing ceremony. The data points to a different pattern. Across the period from January 2020 to June 2026, the large majority of FIFA's most serious controversies were recorded outside any World Cup window. Tournaments concentrate global attention on FIFA's existing liabilities, but the evidence suggests they do not drive the underlying volume. Many of the substantive events, including court verdicts, regulator rulings, fund decisions, and bid matters, occur in the periods between tournaments.
For investors, sponsors, and anyone screening exposure to football's governing body, this distinction matters. If controversy were cyclical, it could be assessed around the calendar. Because the data indicates it is closer to continuous, it is better suited to ongoing monitoring. To examine this, the analysis below draws on SESAMm's controversy data, which captures and classifies FIFA's reputational, regulatory, and operational controversies.
Context: How FIFA's Structure Shapes Its Risk
Controversy Exposure Over Time
*Unsolicited ratings - produced from public sources, not commissioned by the rated company. For more information, visit here.
It helps to start with how FIFA is organized, because its governance structure has a direct bearing on the type of risk it carries. As a Swiss-law association, FIFA answers to a membership rather than to shareholders or a securities regulator, and its decision-making body, the FIFA Council, is composed of representatives from the regional confederations whose commercial interests the Council also oversees. This means the regulatory functions of sanctioning, eligibility, and integrity sit close to the commercial function of awarding and selling tournaments. Arrangements of this kind tend to produce a steady stream of governance-related questions as part of normal operations, which is consistent with SESAMm’s controversy data.
One useful illustration is procedural rather than criminal. The Blatter and Platini proceedings span the entire time period without reaching a clear resolution, running from a 2020 complaint through a fraud indictment, an acquittal, a prosecutorial appeal, and a second acquittal, before Platini opened a fresh action against FIFA and Infantino in June 2026. As a corruption narrative, the sequence is inconclusive. As a governance observation, it illustrates a broader dynamic in which matters are litigated and re-litigated over long periods, in part because resolution often depends on external courts operating on their own timelines. The result is a long-running procedural footprint rather than discrete, time-bound events.
The CES is an aggregate, entity-level score (0–100) that measures an entity's overall exposure to ESG controversies over time. It's built from individual ESG events and their intensities, synthesizing both event volume and severity into a single trackable figure. The intensity score, by contrast, operates one level down: it's applied at the event level, measuring how severe or important each individual ESG event is on a scale from 1 (least severe) to 5 (most severe). In short, the CES tells you how exposed an entity is overall, while the intensity score tells you how serious each underlying event is.
ESG Risk Over Time
This chart tracks FIFA's ESG controversies per year from 2020 to 2026, stacked by risk pillar. Governance dominates every bar, with social forming a secondary band and environmental barely visible. Volume climbs from a governance-heavy opening year to a clear peak in 2022, then holds at a stable plateau through 2025 before the short 2026 bar. The shape is driven by a handful of major events. The 2020 corruption investigations kept the opening-year baseline elevated and were almost purely governance-related, following a US DOJ indictment unsealed that April, which alleged bribes were paid for the votes that awarded Russia and Qatar the 2018 and 2022 World Cups.
The 2022 Qatar World Cup marked the clear inflection point, drawing sportswashing accusations and pushing total controversies to their peak, while migrant-worker conditions and human-rights coverage around Qatar thickened the social band into a permanent quarter-to-third of each bar from 2022 onward. Rather than reverting, controversies settled into a post-2022 "new normal," plateauing well above the pre-tournament level.
Underneath it all, corruption-and-bribery and legal/investigative exposure account for the bulk of total risk across 2020 to 2026, while environmental risk stays statistically negligible throughout.
ESG Risk by Type
Environmental Risks
Environmental risk accounts for a small share of FIFA's total controversy volume, but that low frequency masks cases of genuine severity. The Swiss Fairness Commission ruled against FIFA's Qatar 2022 carbon-neutrality marketing, turning a greenwashing accusation into a formal regulatory matter still active in June 2026. Related controversies extend the theme, including criticism of the Saudi Aramco and Coca-Cola sponsorships, the cooling and water-use controversies at Qatar, and the animal-welfare outcry over stray-dog culling ahead of Morocco's 2030 hosting.
Beyond these, FIFA has drawn criticism over its marketing and communications, notably branding the 2022 Qatar World Cup as "carbon neutral," and has dealt with fraud and embezzlement, exemplified by the case of former FIFA and CONCACAF official Chuck Blazer. Issues tied to its board and senior management leadership round out the picture, though the overall pattern is one of an organization reacting to the weight of its legal and ethical past rather than getting ahead of it.
As the breakdown above shows, the overwhelming majority of FIFA's screened ESG events fall into the low-risk tier (1,294, or 88.1%), with 165 (11.2%) on the watchlist and 9 (0.6%) classified as Violator, the highest-risk tier under SESAMm's UN Global Compact screening. That tier is assigned only where there is clear evidence of a breach, such as formal sanctions, court findings, or regulatory condemnations, rather than unresolved allegations. For investors with SFDR Article 8 or 9 obligations, or internal exclusion policies tied to UNGC compliance, a Violator flag on a core holding or counterparty is a material signal rather than a monitoring note, which is why the profile is best read as governance-led: the nine Violator events reflect adjudicated breaches concentrated in FIFA's governance history, not the live controversies surrounding the current tournament.
The composition that emerges is a governance core of long-running legal cases, a Qatar-rooted social overlay that has proven durable, and a small but genuinely high-severity environmental tail now being contested through formal channels.
Both lines explode together, but unevenly: absolute volume roughly doubles while the relative share more than quadruples, briefly making Qatar roughly one in seven of all FIFA-related items, because nearly every controversy fires at once. The spike packs in wider labor abuses, and the jailing of whistleblower Abdullah Ibhais; the OneLove armband ban and Qatar's criminalization of same-sex relations and the broader sportswashing and carbon-neutral greenwashing charges; and the unresolved bribery allegations over the 2010 hosting vote. On its own, this acute cluster would suggest a controversy that lives and dies with the tournament.
Phase 3: Off-Season Accumulation (2023–2026)
This is where the two lines part ways, and the accumulation shows itself. After the tournament, the relative share deflates sharply in 2023, the acute spike clearing, but it never returns to baseline; instead, it grinds steadily upward every subsequent year, ending in 2026 at roughly four-and-a-half times its pre-tournament level. Over the same stretch, the absolute volume collapses, from 1.43M in 2023 to around 448K in 2026, under a fifth of the 2022 peak. The two movements together are the key finding: even as total FIFA coverage shrank dramatically, the Qatar migrant-worker case captured a larger and larger share of what remained. Driving that residual are post-tournament findings: The non-payment of the migrant workers during the 2022 World Cup, the campaign for a migrant-worker compensation and remedy fund, and Amnesty's continued push for FIFA to fund remediation.A storyline that merely echoes the event would fade with the falling volume; one that accumulates does the opposite. The controversy is no longer powered by the match calendar but by its own momentum.
The Case Underneath
Underneath that residual sits the report's single heaviest case: the human-rights strand of 135 events running from 2020 to 2026, the longest-running and most densely populated case in the dataset. What stops it fading is that each turn of the hosting cycle reactivates it: the 2026 uptick to 6.49%, the highest reading outside the tournament year itself, coincides with the 2026 World Cup now underway in North America, which revives retrospective scrutiny of Qatar, and the emerging human-rights questions around Saudi Arabia's 2034 tournament, which carries the same migrant-labour lens straight to the next host. The case is not simply failing to fade; it is being actively topped up by each new host, which is why the social exposure reads as structural rather than event-bound.
Key Takeaways
Taken together, the data describes a profile that is primarily governance-related, with the most severe and persistent cases concerning legal exposure, corruption, and bribery, supported by a durable Qatar-rooted social overlay and a small but high-severity environmental tail. All three pillars reach maximum case intensity, so severity is not confined to any single dimension.
The most consistent feature is persistence. FIFA's Controversy Exposure Score has remained in the High-to-Very-High band throughout the period and sits at 99 today. The largest cases run continuously from 2020 to 2026, and a significant share of binding decisions occur outside tournament windows. None of this reduces the significance of the World Cup, which clearly concentrates attention and scrutiny. But the underlying controversy is produced across the quarters between tournaments, and several of FIFA's most consequential outcomes are set during lower-attention periods. For those screening FIFA, the practical implication is that continuous monitoring suits this profile better than event-triggered review, because much of the relevant activity occurs between tournaments rather than during them.
The data suggests that for an entity like FIFA, a four-year review cycle misses most of what matters. Request a demo to see how SESAMm supports the kind of ongoing monitoring this profile requires.
*The Controversy Exposure Score (CES) is a continuous score from 0 to 100 measuring a company's exposure to ESG controversies over time, based on the severity of incidents and their media volume. This is an unsolicited rating: it is not commissioned by the rated company. The company is notified before its score is first issued, does not take part in the rating, and SESAMm has no access to its management or non-public documents. Ratings are produced only from public and licensed sources. The methodology is available here.
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